Erzo G.J. Luttmer
- "Technology Diffusion and Growth,"
Journal of Economic Theory, 2012, Vol. 147, 602-622.
- imperfectly elastic entry is key to robustly ensure existence of a balanced growth path with a stationary firm size distribution
- long-run growth emerges even though entrants can only imitate relatively unproductive incumbents
- this imitation mechanism produces a unique stationary distribution
- "On the Mechanics of Firm Growth,"
The Review of Economic Studies, 2011, Vol. 78, No. 3, 1042-1068; see also MPLS Fed Region.
- a Roy model of entrepreneurship (points out the Frechet special case)
- firms grow by accumulating organization capital (e.g.
finding new customers)
- persistent heterogeneity in mean firm growth rates is needed to account for the relatively young age of very large firms
- a subset of new firms "burst on the scene"
- small quality differences can lead to large size differences, over time
- "Models of Growth and Firm Heterogeneity,"
Annual Review of Economics, 2010, Vol. 2, 547-576.
- a survey that compares and contrasts models of firm size based on productivity growth and capital accumulation
- "Selection, Growth, and the Size Distribution of Firms,"
Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2007, Vol. 122, No. 3, 1103-1144.
- an explanation for the joint emergence of Pareto productivity distributions and long-run aggregate growth
- a traveling wave of productivities with an endogenously determined shape and speed
- firm size differences reflect productivity and market size (consumer preferences)
- long-run growth driven by the ability of entrants to (imperfectly) imitate randomly sampled incumbents
- that is, ideas generated by incumbent experience flow to potential incumbents
- the model has both productivity improvements and gains from variety (but no scale effects)
- only one of the continuum of stationary distributions is accessible from an initial distribution with bounded support
- "Efficiency and Equilibrium when Preferences are Time-Inconsistent," with Thomas
Mariotti, Journal of Economic Theory, 2007, Vol. 132, No. 1, 493-506.
- "Competitive Equilibrium When Preferences Change over Time," with Thomas Mariotti,
Economic Theory, 2006, Vol. 27, No. 3, pp. 679-690.
- "The Existence of Subgame-Perfect Equilibrium in Continuous Games with
Almost Perfect Information: A Comment," with Thomas Mariotti, Econometrica, 2003, Vol. 71, No. 6, pp. 1909-1911.
- "Subjective Discounting in an Exchange Economy," with Thomas Mariotti, Journal
of Political Economy, 2003, Vol. 111, No. 5, pp. 959-989.
- "What Level of Fixed Costs Can Reconcile Consumption
and Stock Returns?," Journal of Political Economy,
1999, Vol. 107, No. 5, pp. 969-997.
- "Short-Term Interest Rates as Subordinated
Diffusions," with Timothy G. Conley, Lars Peter
Hansen and Jose A. Scheinkman, The Review of Financial
Studies, 1997, Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 525-577.
- "Asset Pricing in Economies with Frictions," Econometrica,
1996, Vol. 64, No. 6, pp. 1439-1467.
- "Econometric Evaluation of Asset Pricing
Models," with Lars Peter Hansen and John Heaton, The
Review of Financial Studies, 1995, Vol. 8, No. 2, pp.
237-274.
my take on knowledge diffusion and endogenous growth
The Multiplicity Issue and a Resolution
- in my 2007 QJE paper, I noted a multiplicity of growth rates and stationary distributions
- the same problem arises in the Frechet branch of the knowledge diffusion literature
- these slides explain which growth rate and stationary distribution will actually emerge
some useful notes
recent working papers
Permanent Primary Deficits, Idiosyncratic Long-Run Risk, and Growth (with Amol Amol, November 2022)
,
- If the intertemporal elasticity of substitution is greater than 1 and the economy is sufficiently productive, then there may not be a finite upper bound on how large the primary deficits of the government can be.
- slides presented at the Econometric Society meetings in Los Angeles, June 23, 2023
- slides for a version with aggregate risk, May 2024
Dynamic Urn-Ball Discovery (December 2021)
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- Repeated discovery of the same ideas is inevitable. In the setting of this paper, this implies that patent-protected monopoly profits should be taxed.
Bounded Learning from Incumbent Firms (August 2020)
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- a new way to obtain uniqueness in the context of my 2007 QJE paper on productivity distributions and long-run growth
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slides for this paper (October 2021)
- an attempt to follow the dictum "what can be said at all can be said clearly"
- best way to figure out my 2007 QJE paper, plus some commentary on related literature
Slow Convergence in Economies with Organization Capital (June 2019)
,
(earlier version, January 2018)
- combines ideas from my 2012 and 2013 Fed working papers
- low consumption and employment when organization capital is destroyed, consumers become more patient, or a bubble bursts
- recovery is slow, in part because the firm size distribution is close to Zipf's law
- a consumption-sector elasticity of substitution below 1 generates plausible equilibrium trajectories
some working paper versions of published papers
Models of Growth and Firm Heterogeneity (April 2010)
Technology Diffusion and Growth (March 2010)
On the Mechanics of Firm Growth (February 2008), and a new version (March 2010)
New Goods and the Size Distribution of Firms (January 2007)
Consumer Search and Firm Growth (October 2006)
more links to published and unpublished papers
Asset Pricing with Market Frictions
Bounds Estimation and Moment Inequalities
Changing Preferences
Estimation of Markov Diffusions
Firm Dynamics
Monetary Economics
Seminars